Low confidence

Given the complexity of the situation, both the track and intensity 
forecasts are currently low confidence.

Paragraph four of four, or as the kids note, 4/4, from the NWS Hurricane Center.

Maybe it’s just me and my relative lack of coffee but when one is making predictions and communicating such to the public, wouldn’t one give enough of a rat’s ass about the public to say, hey, maybe I ought to disclose the fact that we’re still in the just winging it stage *before* one spends three paragraphs winging it?

Maybe it’s just me.